Export Sales: U.S. Soybeans

Week ending Oct 29, 2026 · released Nov 5, 2026 · next ESR Nov 13

Soybean commitments are 65.5% of USDA’s 2026/27 export projection, above the 5-yr range (38.7%–57.9%, n = 5).

Target from the October 2026 WASDE, the one public at this release (point-in-time).n = 5small sample

Commitments

30.23 MMT

12.02 MMT shipped + 18.21 MMT outstanding

USDA export target (as of release)

46.13 MMT

1,695 mil. bu · October 2026 WASDE

Net sales this week

1.46 MMT

Exports 2.53 MMT

Next ESR

Nov 13, 2026

Thursdays, 8:30 ET

Chapter 01 · Export Sales · pace

Pace vs USDA and the 5 previous years

2026/27 (current)5 prior years: range5-yr meaneach prior year (2021/22, 2022/23, 2023/24, 2024/25, 2025/26)week of the marketing year

History = % of the USDA projection at the time: each past week is divided by the WASDE export projection that was public that week, never a later one.

Show data table

soybean commitments as a share of USDA’s export projection, by week of the marketing year; 2026/27 at week 9: 65.5%; 5 prior years at that week: 38.7% to 57.9%.
Week	2026/27	5-yr mean	5-yr min	5-yr max	n
1	41.9%	32.4%	20.2%	41.7%	5
2	45.0%	34.5%	22.3%	44.6%	5
3	46.2%	36.2%	23.8%	45.3%	5
4	48.5%	38.1%	25.6%	47.1%	5
5	49.7%	40.3%	28.5%	48.4%	5
6	50.6%	42.8%	30.2%	50.6%	5
7	56.8%	46.4%	32.6%	54.7%	5
8	62.4%	49.0%	35.8%	56.5%	5
9	65.5%	51.8%	38.7%	57.9%	5

Chapter 02 · Export Sales · destinations

Who is buying

China share of commitments at this week52.8%

Unknown destinations 18.5% now; 18.2%–21.9% in the 5 prior years

inside the 5-yr rangen = 5small sample· Unknown destinations can hide China· Past weeks are USDA’s latest revision, not as first published

Top destinations, week ending Oct 29, 2026

China15.95 MMT · 53%
Unknown destinations5.60 MMT · 19%
Mexico2.13 MMT · 7%
Egypt851 thou. t · 3%
Japan741 thou. t · 2%
Algeria620 thou. t · 2%
Indonesia549 thou. t · 2%
Vietnam529 thou. t · 2%
Spain502 thou. t · 2%
Taiwan358 thou. t · 1%
Other (29 destinations)2.41 MMT · 8%

Unknown destinations can hide China

Chapter 03 · Export Sales · required pace

What is still needed

To reach USDA’s projection, sales need 361 thou. t a week over the remaining 44 weeks: 0.19× the last 4-week average of 1.86 MMT.

Needed per week361 thou. t/wk
Last 4-week average1.86 MMT/wk

Weekly net sales, 2026/27, vs the weekly pace needed

n = 4small sample· ESR commitments are not Census exports

Metric tonnes; USDA’s target converted from mil. bu. ESR commitments are not Census exports.

Explore: every week and every destination

Weekly net sales and exports, 2026/27

Week ending	Week	Net sales	Exports	Next-MY net sales	4-wk avg
Oct 29, 2026	9	1.46 MMT	2.53 MMT	0 t	1.86 MMT
Oct 22, 2026	8	2.58 MMT	2.38 MMT	0 t	1.64 MMT
Oct 15, 2026	7	2.84 MMT	2.02 MMT	0 t	1.25 MMT
Oct 8, 2026	6	575 thou. t	1.15 MMT	0 t	685 thou. t
Oct 1, 2026	5	549 thou. t	1.38 MMT	0 t	964 thou. t
Sep 24, 2026	4	1.03 MMT	988 thou. t	0 t	1.49 MMT
Sep 17, 2026	3	582 thou. t	775 thou. t	0 t	—
Sep 10, 2026	2	1.69 MMT	611 thou. t	0 t	—
Sep 3, 2026	1	2.64 MMT	181 thou. t	-2,400 t	—

Destinations, week ending Oct 29, 2026

Destination	Commitments	Exports	Outstanding	Net sales	Share
China	15.95 MMT	7.57 MMT	8.38 MMT	874 thou. t	52.8%
Unknown destinations	5.60 MMT	0 t	5.60 MMT	-211 thou. t	18.5%
Mexico	2.13 MMT	784 thou. t	1.34 MMT	-37 t	7.0%
Egypt	851 thou. t	683 thou. t	168 thou. t	13.9 thou. t	2.8%
Japan	741 thou. t	416 thou. t	326 thou. t	52.6 thou. t	2.5%
Algeria	620 thou. t	485 thou. t	135 thou. t	132 thou. t	2.1%
Indonesia	549 thou. t	233 thou. t	316 thou. t	32.7 thou. t	1.8%
Vietnam	529 thou. t	266 thou. t	262 thou. t	10.6 thou. t	1.8%
Spain	502 thou. t	297 thou. t	205 thou. t	95.7 thou. t	1.7%
Taiwan	358 thou. t	106 thou. t	252 thou. t	42 t	1.2%

China share / Unknown share

Marketing year	China share	Unknown share
2021/22	53.9%	21.0%
2022/23	57.4%	19.8%
2023/24	52.4%	18.2%
2024/25	44.3%	21.9%
2025/26	1.4%	20.6%

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